The NBA Draft was a few days ago, and I have to say I really enjoyed it. Instead of doing a recap I decided to do something new and give my opinions on 5 things I loved and 5 things I hated from Thursday's draft.
LOVE: Isaiah Austin Drafted: It was shocking news when Baylor center Isaiah Austin was diagnosed with a disease that basically ended his professional basketball career. Even if the news would've come a few weeks later he would've at least signed a contract in the NBA. It was a classy move by commissioner Silver who I thing is doing a really great job as commissioner so far to have the NBA draft Austin. Even if he never plays basketball again, Austin will always have that moment.
HATE: Julius Randle: When the Kentucky big man was drafted with the seventh pick in the draft, he was asked whether or not he thought he deserved to be drafted higher. Randle responded, "definitely". To me that's a sign of a guy who has a little too big an ego for a guy entering the NBA on the bottom of the totem pole. An appropriate answer for me would be something like, "maybe, but I'm just happy to get a chance to play in this league".
LOVE: The Bulls' McDermott Trade: Denver took Doug McDermott of Creighton with the 11th pick in the draft, but then the Bulls traded their 16th and 19th picks for McDermott. The Bulls have struggled with offense, but they will hope to fix that with Derrick Rose and McDermott, the NCAA's 5th leading scorer all-time. Now the Bulls could have a starting five that looks like Derrick Rose, Jimmy Butler, McDermott, Carmelo Anthony, and Joakim Noah. Best of all is they would avoid being called a manufactured team since Carmelo would be the only one not to start his career in Chicago.
HATE: International Players with Overseas Contracts: These players are always big no-nos for me. They aren't playing with NBA competition, they might never come over, and even if they do the NBA is a big transition and they'll probably need more time to adjust. I think these players are traps and statistics have proven that they don't perform as good as players who attended a U.S. college.
LOVE: Joel Embiid's TV: The Cameroonian big man created a stir when cameras of him after he was drafted showed a blank, bored expression on his face. This was shocking and confused everyone at the time. However, it was revealed that he was watching the broadcast on a delay, so he celebrated when his TV showed him getting drafted. It was a funny moment for everyone.
HATE: The Magic's Trade for Elfrid Payton: First of all, until two days before draft night I hadn't even heard of Elfrid Payton. All of a sudden he climbed the draft boards, and the Sixers took him 10th. Later, the Magic traded their 12th pick (Dario Saric), their 2015 2nd round pick, and a potential 1st round pick in 2017. They took a bargain on a mystery player who went up against bad competition in college and racked up the most turnovers in the NCAA last year. He is a good defender and average 19 points a game last year, but still, the fact that the Sixers essentially got two first round picks for one and another additional pick means the Magic were ripped off.
LOVE: The "International" League: 21 of the 60 players drafted were originally from a country that isn't the U.S. Four of these players went in the top 10 in Andrew Wiggins, Joel Embiid, Dante Exum, and Nik Stauskas. I love seeing guys from around the world play the game as they have their own distinct play styles and abilities. It can only be good for the league to get this worldwide exposure.
HATE: The Dante Exum Commercials: I believe four new commercials aired during the draft. Four extremely simple, dumb, and poorly acted spots revolving around Australian hoops sensation Dante Exum. I know the kid's got immense talent, but this was a little overboard. Maybe these thirty second slots wouldn't've bothered me if any one of the four qualified as a good ad.
LOVE: Bill Simmons: After the Celtics drafted James Young, analyst Bill Simmons was caught on camera celebrating the pick. He quickly noticed he was being filmed and abruptly stopped, began to laugh, and said that he'd be on Youtube. Sure enough he was. Most of the time we see these personalities as all-knowing, perfect, and unbiased personalities, so it's great once in a while to see someone really rooting for their own team.
HATE: "Works in Progress": That is a very dangerous term. "Works in progress" aren't good now, and might still be two years away from being good two years from now. (That was a draft reference, props if you caught it). Yes, they are usually great athletes, physical specimen, and have high ceilings, but there's always a risk that they will be huge busts, so I like to stay away from these players if at all possible.
I hope you enjoyed what I think was a fun, less serious recap of the draft. In a few months we'll get to see which of the players who are new to the league are here to stay and become household names, and which guys won't be making a living out of basketball for very long.
Thanks for reading,
Connor
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Monday, June 30, 2014
Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Johnny Manziel: Brown, Padre, Globetrotter?
Johnny Football has made news again. This time, it doesn't even involve anything he did on the field or off the field. In fact, he might not have even known before the fact that he would be making news. But he did. This time, Johnny Manziel was "drafted" to join the Harlem Globetrotters traveling entertainment basketball team. This just a few weeks after he was "drafted" in the 28th round of baseball's draft by the Padres, and that was not even two months after he was actually drafted. In football. Is Johnny Manziel really a three-sport athlete? Of course not.
Technically, Manziel has played baseball. Through his junior year of high school, Manziel was an infielder on his school's baseball team. This is nothing compared to Jameis Winston, who was drafted by the MLB, but will play in the NFL someday. The primary difference is that Winston is still playing baseball, and he's pretty good. Manziel can also dunk a basketball as seen by videos that only went viral because it was Johnny Football. However, this "skill" nowhere near constitutes being drafted professionally, and while the Globetrotters draft seems to be more of a joke, something that for the most part doesn't bother me, the Padres are an actual professional franchise that drafted an NFL player to play baseball.
My main issue is that they are wasting their time. Johnny is a football player, and a pretty good one. He will play for the Browns, potentially start some games this season, and probably have a decent career in the NFL. There is practically no chance he doesn't play in the league, and somewhere near a .000001% chance he plays another sport.
The baseball draft is 40 rounds, and Johnny was drafted in the 28th round. Wait, really? He was deemed more capable than 12 players the Padres also drafted? And over 300 other baseball players? Essentially, the Padres pulled a cheap publicity stunt that I'm not buying. They want to make a name for themselves and get in the papers, and in the end it feels like a sorry attempt to do so. Then again, I'm probably playing into their plan by writing about them.
What bugs me the most about the Padres is that they just ruined someone's lifelong dream. No one ever thinks about that one kid that just missed the cut for being drafted, the guy chosen after "Mr. Irrelevant." The last pick still gets a chance to play, a chance to tell people that he made it. He was drafted to play the sport he had been playing his whole life. He was a pro. And who knows, maybe he'd actually make it as a starter someday. But that next kid doesn't get any of that. He's a failure, someone that didn't accomplish his dream. He goes on to live an average life, having a desk job and thinking of what could've been. Maybe I'm writing this a little late, but the Globetrotter incident reminded me of the Padres. It is by no means Johnny Manziel's fault that he was drafted, and he isn't to blame. The Padres decided it would be better to sell some Johnny Baseball T-shirts and throw away a pick that could change someone's life.
I thought that baseball's farm system meant something, and that the draft was made to get tons of fresh young talent to compete and see who could develop into pros, not which team could get a celebrity. Should Justin Bieber go back to Canada to play for the Toronto Blue Jays? The Padres showed a lack of professionalism, and I can't bring myself to respect a team that would throw away a potential prospect for a laugh. I now have a hope that Nick Sabo, the left-handed pitcher out of Long Beach State becomes a legend. Why? Because he was drafted 838th, one pick after Johnny Manziel. I hope the Padres can one day see what they missed, and when the inevitable stats come out about who was picked before hall-of-famer Sabo, the Padres hang their heads in shame.
Maybe I should register for the MLB draft. I'm beginning to believe that I could get chosen. Because there's at least one team that would throw away someone's dream to get written about in the papers.
Technically, Manziel has played baseball. Through his junior year of high school, Manziel was an infielder on his school's baseball team. This is nothing compared to Jameis Winston, who was drafted by the MLB, but will play in the NFL someday. The primary difference is that Winston is still playing baseball, and he's pretty good. Manziel can also dunk a basketball as seen by videos that only went viral because it was Johnny Football. However, this "skill" nowhere near constitutes being drafted professionally, and while the Globetrotters draft seems to be more of a joke, something that for the most part doesn't bother me, the Padres are an actual professional franchise that drafted an NFL player to play baseball.
My main issue is that they are wasting their time. Johnny is a football player, and a pretty good one. He will play for the Browns, potentially start some games this season, and probably have a decent career in the NFL. There is practically no chance he doesn't play in the league, and somewhere near a .000001% chance he plays another sport.
The baseball draft is 40 rounds, and Johnny was drafted in the 28th round. Wait, really? He was deemed more capable than 12 players the Padres also drafted? And over 300 other baseball players? Essentially, the Padres pulled a cheap publicity stunt that I'm not buying. They want to make a name for themselves and get in the papers, and in the end it feels like a sorry attempt to do so. Then again, I'm probably playing into their plan by writing about them.
What bugs me the most about the Padres is that they just ruined someone's lifelong dream. No one ever thinks about that one kid that just missed the cut for being drafted, the guy chosen after "Mr. Irrelevant." The last pick still gets a chance to play, a chance to tell people that he made it. He was drafted to play the sport he had been playing his whole life. He was a pro. And who knows, maybe he'd actually make it as a starter someday. But that next kid doesn't get any of that. He's a failure, someone that didn't accomplish his dream. He goes on to live an average life, having a desk job and thinking of what could've been. Maybe I'm writing this a little late, but the Globetrotter incident reminded me of the Padres. It is by no means Johnny Manziel's fault that he was drafted, and he isn't to blame. The Padres decided it would be better to sell some Johnny Baseball T-shirts and throw away a pick that could change someone's life.
I thought that baseball's farm system meant something, and that the draft was made to get tons of fresh young talent to compete and see who could develop into pros, not which team could get a celebrity. Should Justin Bieber go back to Canada to play for the Toronto Blue Jays? The Padres showed a lack of professionalism, and I can't bring myself to respect a team that would throw away a potential prospect for a laugh. I now have a hope that Nick Sabo, the left-handed pitcher out of Long Beach State becomes a legend. Why? Because he was drafted 838th, one pick after Johnny Manziel. I hope the Padres can one day see what they missed, and when the inevitable stats come out about who was picked before hall-of-famer Sabo, the Padres hang their heads in shame.
Maybe I should register for the MLB draft. I'm beginning to believe that I could get chosen. Because there's at least one team that would throw away someone's dream to get written about in the papers.
Sunday, June 22, 2014
Perspectives: Jimmy Graham's Position
Jimmy Graham. Undeniably a great player, but what position does he really play? Is the New Orleans Saints Pro-bowler a tight end, as he is officially listed, or is he really a wide receiver as he wants to be? This will be the first entry of a new series I'm doing, called Perspectives. The main idea here is that I give as much information on a topic as I can, seeing a sports related issue from as many different angles and perspectives as I can, but in the end leaving the decision up to you. I'm giving you all the facts about a situation so you can talk to your friends about it, and be able to make your own opinions.
First of all, just in case you aren't familiar with the issue, here's what you need to know. Jimmy Graham is one of the best tight ends in the NFL, if not the best. He's a two time Pro-Bowler, All-Pro, and was the leading receiver in terms of yards, receptions, and touchdowns for the Saints last season. However, up to now Graham had been on his rookie contract, so last season he only made about 1.3 million dollars. I'll be the first to tell you that NFL players are overpaid, but in terms of NFL salaries, that makes him severely underpaid. To put off giving him a new contract right now, he has been franchise tagged for about seven million dollars for next season as a tight end. However, Jimmy Graham says he is a wide receiver, and if that is the case, he will be paid 12.3 million dollars next season, basically a five million dollar payout if he wins his case. Obviously, this will be about the definition of positions and whether or not players can define their roles on a team.
Now that the basics are out of the way, lets look at Jimmy Graham. He's a big dude, coming in at six feet seven inches and weighing 265 pounds. He's a converted basketball player, just like many tight ends in the NFL. In fact, he played four years of college basketball at Miami, while only playing one year of football for the Hurricanes. The average NFL wide receiver is about six feet tall and weighs around 200 pounds. For sake of comparison, the average tight end is around six feet four or five inches tall and 240 pounds. From this it can be seen that even for a tight end Jimmy Graham is big. Based on size alone, Jimmy Graham is a tight end.
Jimmy Graham's play doesn't reflect that of an average tight end. The NFL players association states that Graham lines up like a tight end 67% of the time. If this is true, that's a very compelling argument to suggest in reality he is a wide receiver. Graham is fast, and runs all kinds of different routes. While many tight ends spend the majority of their time on the field blocking, Graham doesn't. He isn't the best blocker in the world, but that's not what he's needed for out on the field. He's meant to play like a big, strong wide receiver.
Graham's argument isn't that complicated. More money naturally comes with being a wide receiver than with a tight end. He also probably wants to be recognized as a receiver, because more popularity and publicity comes to receivers. Graham believes that he has the right do define his own position, and it's the job of the NFL to prove him wrong.
The NFL doesn't have that strong of a case. Their primary argument is that he lines up as a tight end at least part of the time, and meets in the tight end room. However, their argument has notably been bolstered by the fact that in Jimmy Graham's twitter account Graham calls himself a tight end. These arguments are especially flimsy when you realize that the NFL officially lists him as a tight end, so it would be weird for him to officially list himself as something different. In addition, the NFL most likely thinks that he is in this only for the money, and while that may be true, from a business standpoint they don't want to comply with Graham's wishes.
Another idea here is that Jimmy Graham will most likely not be the first tight end to request a position transfer to wide receiver. If this continues, we may be looking at the elimination of the tight end position in the future, or maybe the creation of a new position. For instance, in soccer their is a left defender and left winger, but also a left midfielder. In this scenario Jimmy Graham would be a left midfielder. While this isn't the best example in the world, I think the point is made clear. This issue is much bigger than Jimmy Graham.
This event also effects the fantasy spectrum. Millions of people play fantasy football, and now the rules might have to be adjusted if tight ends turn into wide receivers. Tight end is already a relatively weak position where only a few tight ends produce like wideouts do. Making players like Jimmy Graham wide receivers may eliminate the tight end position from many leagues, or force an adjustment of points systems, perhaps creating more PPR leagues to even receivers and tight ends with running backs. We may see less position players and more flex options to add to fantasy strategies. Every league will be different, and it remains to be seen how many people would adjust to this. I've only given a few options.
So at this point, I believe I've covered the situation rather thoroughly, and now you have to make the decision for yourself. Personally, it is my opinion that Jimmy Graham should be granted the right to become a wide receiver, as he basically plays like one now. Players should be able to pick their positions or change their positions as long as it's within reason. Kickers aren't going to be paid like quarterbacks, and if they try to they'll probably be released. That's my final point. If you aren't a big time player, requesting a position change does make you vulnerable to losing your job, and teams have every right to get rid of you. Position changes are decisions that I think players should be able to make. But that's just me. What do you think?
Thanks for reading,
Connor
First of all, just in case you aren't familiar with the issue, here's what you need to know. Jimmy Graham is one of the best tight ends in the NFL, if not the best. He's a two time Pro-Bowler, All-Pro, and was the leading receiver in terms of yards, receptions, and touchdowns for the Saints last season. However, up to now Graham had been on his rookie contract, so last season he only made about 1.3 million dollars. I'll be the first to tell you that NFL players are overpaid, but in terms of NFL salaries, that makes him severely underpaid. To put off giving him a new contract right now, he has been franchise tagged for about seven million dollars for next season as a tight end. However, Jimmy Graham says he is a wide receiver, and if that is the case, he will be paid 12.3 million dollars next season, basically a five million dollar payout if he wins his case. Obviously, this will be about the definition of positions and whether or not players can define their roles on a team.
Now that the basics are out of the way, lets look at Jimmy Graham. He's a big dude, coming in at six feet seven inches and weighing 265 pounds. He's a converted basketball player, just like many tight ends in the NFL. In fact, he played four years of college basketball at Miami, while only playing one year of football for the Hurricanes. The average NFL wide receiver is about six feet tall and weighs around 200 pounds. For sake of comparison, the average tight end is around six feet four or five inches tall and 240 pounds. From this it can be seen that even for a tight end Jimmy Graham is big. Based on size alone, Jimmy Graham is a tight end.
Jimmy Graham's play doesn't reflect that of an average tight end. The NFL players association states that Graham lines up like a tight end 67% of the time. If this is true, that's a very compelling argument to suggest in reality he is a wide receiver. Graham is fast, and runs all kinds of different routes. While many tight ends spend the majority of their time on the field blocking, Graham doesn't. He isn't the best blocker in the world, but that's not what he's needed for out on the field. He's meant to play like a big, strong wide receiver.
Graham's argument isn't that complicated. More money naturally comes with being a wide receiver than with a tight end. He also probably wants to be recognized as a receiver, because more popularity and publicity comes to receivers. Graham believes that he has the right do define his own position, and it's the job of the NFL to prove him wrong.
The NFL doesn't have that strong of a case. Their primary argument is that he lines up as a tight end at least part of the time, and meets in the tight end room. However, their argument has notably been bolstered by the fact that in Jimmy Graham's twitter account Graham calls himself a tight end. These arguments are especially flimsy when you realize that the NFL officially lists him as a tight end, so it would be weird for him to officially list himself as something different. In addition, the NFL most likely thinks that he is in this only for the money, and while that may be true, from a business standpoint they don't want to comply with Graham's wishes.
Another idea here is that Jimmy Graham will most likely not be the first tight end to request a position transfer to wide receiver. If this continues, we may be looking at the elimination of the tight end position in the future, or maybe the creation of a new position. For instance, in soccer their is a left defender and left winger, but also a left midfielder. In this scenario Jimmy Graham would be a left midfielder. While this isn't the best example in the world, I think the point is made clear. This issue is much bigger than Jimmy Graham.
This event also effects the fantasy spectrum. Millions of people play fantasy football, and now the rules might have to be adjusted if tight ends turn into wide receivers. Tight end is already a relatively weak position where only a few tight ends produce like wideouts do. Making players like Jimmy Graham wide receivers may eliminate the tight end position from many leagues, or force an adjustment of points systems, perhaps creating more PPR leagues to even receivers and tight ends with running backs. We may see less position players and more flex options to add to fantasy strategies. Every league will be different, and it remains to be seen how many people would adjust to this. I've only given a few options.
So at this point, I believe I've covered the situation rather thoroughly, and now you have to make the decision for yourself. Personally, it is my opinion that Jimmy Graham should be granted the right to become a wide receiver, as he basically plays like one now. Players should be able to pick their positions or change their positions as long as it's within reason. Kickers aren't going to be paid like quarterbacks, and if they try to they'll probably be released. That's my final point. If you aren't a big time player, requesting a position change does make you vulnerable to losing your job, and teams have every right to get rid of you. Position changes are decisions that I think players should be able to make. But that's just me. What do you think?
Thanks for reading,
Connor
Thursday, June 19, 2014
NBA Free Agency Preview: The End of the Big 3?
I am now positive that the Miami Heat do not read this blog. What a shame. If they did, they could've survived San Antonio and took the NBA Finals back to South Beach for game 6. Instead, they were crushed. Again. I wrote that they needed to win the battle of the benches and defend the three, and the Heat's inability to do these things killed them. But all props go to the Spurs for playing great team ball. Now we're in the aftermath. Coming off a bad loss in the finals, and now in a free agency period where LeBron, D Wade, and Bosh can all opt out of their contracts, the future of the Big 3 is in question. Similarly, the Spurs may have reached their expiration date with Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, and Manu Ginobili. Other stars like Carmelo Anthony and Dirk Nowitzki are free agents, and the Pacers could be switching things themselves. I'm going to give my opinions on the big headlines of free agency.
Let's start right off with the biggest storyline: the Miami Heat. Are their best years behind them? I believe so. And it doesn't even start with the big 3. Key role players Ray Allen and Shane Battier have retired. Chris Andersen is also a free agent. Just like that, the majority of the Heat bench is gone. Now they're going to need some more veterans to sign cheap minimum contact deals just to keep the contracts of the Big 3. Speaking of the Big 3, I am nearly 100% sure Dwyane Wade stays with the Heat. Bosh will probably also stay, though it is not nearly a done deal. The big question lies with LeBron. Will he go on TV and make another decision? Is a trip back to Cleveland in the cards? The way I see it, King James has three options. 1) Leave Miami and try to win a title somewhere else. 2) Stay in Miami and encourage veterans to come and join him. 3) Try to lure in Carmelo Anthony to create one of the best lineups ever. I say his best option is #2. I don't believe Carmelo will fit in well with the Heat, and doing so means he, the rest of the big three, and basically the whole team will have to take a pay cut. I don't think everyone's really up to that. The biggest reason that I can think of that LeBron would leave is for his "legacy." He is now a less than impressive 2-3 in NBA Finals. Plus, his two wins came with manufactured rosters. He may feel like the only way to be cemented as an all-time great is to really lead a team by himself and take them to glory. Only time will tell which option he chooses.
The Spurs' main problem is age. They are just old. A few years ago everyone thought they'd be calling it quits, but yet they're still here, still winning consistently. Tim Duncan is 38 years old, and in my opinion should retire now while he's still on top. Some guys jeopardize how they are remembered by trying to stretch their careers out too far, and playing poorly in their final years. Mr. Fundamentals hasn't hit that point yet. Manu is 36, and has been playing professionally since 1996, three years before even I was born. Tony Parker is the baby of the bunch at 32. He still is an elite player and I believe he will definitely continue playing. Coach Pop is a hard one to judge. Everyone knows how cryptic he can be, but he has publicly stated intentions to continue coaching. I used to think that Coach Pop and Tim were a package deal, but now I don't feel as strongly that they are. I think Tim and Manu will call it quits, but Coach Popovich and Tony Parker will stay. They still have young talent like Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green to help keep the Spurs in a good playoff position. They will also have salary cap room to make some moves. But would it surprise me if the whole gang stuck together for another year or two, going for the magical sixth ring for Tim Duncan? Not at all. And they just proved they are capable.
I see the Indiana Pacers as a big mystery. Everyone is still trying to figure out how a team that was so good and full of talent fell flat late in the year. A lack of team unity seems to be one of the most likely causes. Now that their year is over everything is starting to come out. Paul George and Lance Stephenson don't want to play with each other, and Roy Hibbert wouldn't mind a trade. All of a sudden, the Pacers could be a thing of the past. If they stick together, they can still make a run, but at this point I'm not sure how things are looking in the locker room. It will all come out eventually. What we do know is that Frank Vogel will remain head coach. Apart from that is a mystery I doubt the Pacers front office has even started solving.
Now for some of the big name players and what I think will happen with them. Carmelo Anthony is going to Chicago. Joakim Noah's recruiting efforts will not be in vain. Dirk is staying where he belongs in Dallas. The Raptors will lose their stars again: first Vince Carter, then Chris Bosh, now Kyle Lowry and Demar Derozan. Eric Bledsoe will not get the max contract he's looking for. He's just not worth all that money. Pau Gasol's career is in desperate need of a reboot. He'll get it somewhere besides L.A. Besides that, everything is still a mystery, and the cards will be played over the next few months. Expect to see some familiar faces wearing new jerseys next season.
Let's start right off with the biggest storyline: the Miami Heat. Are their best years behind them? I believe so. And it doesn't even start with the big 3. Key role players Ray Allen and Shane Battier have retired. Chris Andersen is also a free agent. Just like that, the majority of the Heat bench is gone. Now they're going to need some more veterans to sign cheap minimum contact deals just to keep the contracts of the Big 3. Speaking of the Big 3, I am nearly 100% sure Dwyane Wade stays with the Heat. Bosh will probably also stay, though it is not nearly a done deal. The big question lies with LeBron. Will he go on TV and make another decision? Is a trip back to Cleveland in the cards? The way I see it, King James has three options. 1) Leave Miami and try to win a title somewhere else. 2) Stay in Miami and encourage veterans to come and join him. 3) Try to lure in Carmelo Anthony to create one of the best lineups ever. I say his best option is #2. I don't believe Carmelo will fit in well with the Heat, and doing so means he, the rest of the big three, and basically the whole team will have to take a pay cut. I don't think everyone's really up to that. The biggest reason that I can think of that LeBron would leave is for his "legacy." He is now a less than impressive 2-3 in NBA Finals. Plus, his two wins came with manufactured rosters. He may feel like the only way to be cemented as an all-time great is to really lead a team by himself and take them to glory. Only time will tell which option he chooses.
The Spurs' main problem is age. They are just old. A few years ago everyone thought they'd be calling it quits, but yet they're still here, still winning consistently. Tim Duncan is 38 years old, and in my opinion should retire now while he's still on top. Some guys jeopardize how they are remembered by trying to stretch their careers out too far, and playing poorly in their final years. Mr. Fundamentals hasn't hit that point yet. Manu is 36, and has been playing professionally since 1996, three years before even I was born. Tony Parker is the baby of the bunch at 32. He still is an elite player and I believe he will definitely continue playing. Coach Pop is a hard one to judge. Everyone knows how cryptic he can be, but he has publicly stated intentions to continue coaching. I used to think that Coach Pop and Tim were a package deal, but now I don't feel as strongly that they are. I think Tim and Manu will call it quits, but Coach Popovich and Tony Parker will stay. They still have young talent like Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green to help keep the Spurs in a good playoff position. They will also have salary cap room to make some moves. But would it surprise me if the whole gang stuck together for another year or two, going for the magical sixth ring for Tim Duncan? Not at all. And they just proved they are capable.
I see the Indiana Pacers as a big mystery. Everyone is still trying to figure out how a team that was so good and full of talent fell flat late in the year. A lack of team unity seems to be one of the most likely causes. Now that their year is over everything is starting to come out. Paul George and Lance Stephenson don't want to play with each other, and Roy Hibbert wouldn't mind a trade. All of a sudden, the Pacers could be a thing of the past. If they stick together, they can still make a run, but at this point I'm not sure how things are looking in the locker room. It will all come out eventually. What we do know is that Frank Vogel will remain head coach. Apart from that is a mystery I doubt the Pacers front office has even started solving.
Now for some of the big name players and what I think will happen with them. Carmelo Anthony is going to Chicago. Joakim Noah's recruiting efforts will not be in vain. Dirk is staying where he belongs in Dallas. The Raptors will lose their stars again: first Vince Carter, then Chris Bosh, now Kyle Lowry and Demar Derozan. Eric Bledsoe will not get the max contract he's looking for. He's just not worth all that money. Pau Gasol's career is in desperate need of a reboot. He'll get it somewhere besides L.A. Besides that, everything is still a mystery, and the cards will be played over the next few months. Expect to see some familiar faces wearing new jerseys next season.
Wednesday, June 18, 2014
World Cup Groups E-H Review: USA! USA! USA!
The World Cup started out a bit shaky. Spain and Uruguay both lost horrendously, Costa Rica came out on top of Group D, and England and Greece forgot how to play the beautiful game. There was a referee conspiracy, a nude photo scandal, and memes filled the internet. While we were consumed by the opening few days, worker productivity went down. The world was captivated by the games and the teams playing in them, fighting so hard for the countries they love. These are the things everyone loves about soccer. The emotion, the passion, the celebration. These greats things continued into the rest of the opening set of matches. Groups E-H proved to be just as exciting, and without the scandals.
Group E began with a bang. Specifically, a 93rd minute bang that stole a point from Ecuador and gave three to Switzerland. It was a moment of clutch unrivaled so far in the World Cup. If that shot doesn't go in, Ecuador has a reasonable shot at this group. Not to say their hopes are over, but they will need some luck. Honduras I believe had the first red card of the World Cup. To be honest, however, it didn't really matter if they had 11 men or 10. Either way they ran into a surprisingly good France team that had definitely recovered from the news that Ribery and Nasri wouldn't be going to Brazil. France is practically through already just because of the high goal differential they have now at +3. Switzerland is a strong side that comes in second, and it will be tough for Ecuador to come back and take their place because that would require a win against Honduras and some points against France. It will be very difficult for Ecuador to defeat the French, but the possibility remains. Similarly, Honduras looks down and out, but if they can stir up some magic in the dressing room, who knows what's in store. I still see my original predictions of Switzerland and France in this group.
Argentina struggled a bit in their opening match, but then again it was against a stronger than expected Bosnia side. Lionel Messi did have a nice goal that was one of the better scores of the still young World Cup. Bosnia had a nice goal late in the game to make the score a very respectable 2-1. Through that performance I now like them to take the second spot in group F. From an Argentina team that is the second favorite to hoist the Cup next month, I didn't like what I saw. They seemed a little too relaxed for my liking, although they did have some beautiful runs. At least they got the three points. It took 13 games in this World Cup for there to be a draw, and it didn't come from one of the likely candidates. It seemed like a foregone conclusion that the Iranian team would be last in the group, but that's only if you look from the surface. The underdogs Iran are actually ranked higher in the FIFA rankings than Nigeria. They are 43rd and 45th, respectively. Looking at it from that angle, it seemed like a draw was fair, and that's just what occurred, with the match culminating in a scoreless tie. With Nigeria and Iran with only one point, Bosnia is in great position to take at least 4 and possibly 6 points out of their remaining two matches while Iran and Nigeria will struggle for points. I see a come from behind victory for second in the group, with Messi leading Argentina to a first-place finish.
As you read in the title of this article, the US of A had a great start to their World Cup, avenging previous defeats against Ghana with a 2-1 victory in Monday's clash. This game was heated. Kicks were coming everywhere and going everywhere, including Clint Dempsey's nose, which is now broken. Jozy Altidore had to leave early, and will miss Portugal's game, but should be back against Germany. I feel bad for Ghana. Despite their rough style of play, they played just as good if not better than the US for 80 minutes, but started and ended poorly, conceding in the first and 86th minutes. In the end, it will be a bitter defeat for Ghana but a big motivation for two more tough games in the "Group of Death." As for the other group G teams, it was a lopsided game between two top 5 ranked teams. Unfortunately, I was unable to see this game, but from the 4-0 score, and friends telling me it could've been more, I think it's really obvious how this went down. Germany stands strong as a leading World Cup contender, and Portugal will need Ronaldo more now than ever.
Belgium, the dark horses of the World Cup, struggled against Algeria in their first match. They conceded an early penalty, which Sofiane Feghouli was able to convert. In the second half, however, Belgium played much harder and through substitutes Dries Mertens and Marouane Fellaini they were able to get the two goals that put them ahead, and hold their lead until the ref blew his final whistle. The Belgians got the three points in the end, and that's all that really matters. Algeria played a good game, but in the end, while it may have been a good game for them, it won't help them get out of the group. Russia's match against South Korea was a huge one for me because it was the first game whose score I predicted correctly in my Yahoo Pick'em. The 1-1 draw came alive in the middle of the second half, where both sides were rapidly going back and forth, including a goal for each side. With the emergence of Algeria as a second place contender and only one point to South Korea and Russia, the second spot in group H is for the taking.
I'm still enjoying every moment I see of this World Cup, so my main suggestion is to soak in as much of it as you can, because what you get now will have to last four another four years.
Group E began with a bang. Specifically, a 93rd minute bang that stole a point from Ecuador and gave three to Switzerland. It was a moment of clutch unrivaled so far in the World Cup. If that shot doesn't go in, Ecuador has a reasonable shot at this group. Not to say their hopes are over, but they will need some luck. Honduras I believe had the first red card of the World Cup. To be honest, however, it didn't really matter if they had 11 men or 10. Either way they ran into a surprisingly good France team that had definitely recovered from the news that Ribery and Nasri wouldn't be going to Brazil. France is practically through already just because of the high goal differential they have now at +3. Switzerland is a strong side that comes in second, and it will be tough for Ecuador to come back and take their place because that would require a win against Honduras and some points against France. It will be very difficult for Ecuador to defeat the French, but the possibility remains. Similarly, Honduras looks down and out, but if they can stir up some magic in the dressing room, who knows what's in store. I still see my original predictions of Switzerland and France in this group.
Argentina struggled a bit in their opening match, but then again it was against a stronger than expected Bosnia side. Lionel Messi did have a nice goal that was one of the better scores of the still young World Cup. Bosnia had a nice goal late in the game to make the score a very respectable 2-1. Through that performance I now like them to take the second spot in group F. From an Argentina team that is the second favorite to hoist the Cup next month, I didn't like what I saw. They seemed a little too relaxed for my liking, although they did have some beautiful runs. At least they got the three points. It took 13 games in this World Cup for there to be a draw, and it didn't come from one of the likely candidates. It seemed like a foregone conclusion that the Iranian team would be last in the group, but that's only if you look from the surface. The underdogs Iran are actually ranked higher in the FIFA rankings than Nigeria. They are 43rd and 45th, respectively. Looking at it from that angle, it seemed like a draw was fair, and that's just what occurred, with the match culminating in a scoreless tie. With Nigeria and Iran with only one point, Bosnia is in great position to take at least 4 and possibly 6 points out of their remaining two matches while Iran and Nigeria will struggle for points. I see a come from behind victory for second in the group, with Messi leading Argentina to a first-place finish.
As you read in the title of this article, the US of A had a great start to their World Cup, avenging previous defeats against Ghana with a 2-1 victory in Monday's clash. This game was heated. Kicks were coming everywhere and going everywhere, including Clint Dempsey's nose, which is now broken. Jozy Altidore had to leave early, and will miss Portugal's game, but should be back against Germany. I feel bad for Ghana. Despite their rough style of play, they played just as good if not better than the US for 80 minutes, but started and ended poorly, conceding in the first and 86th minutes. In the end, it will be a bitter defeat for Ghana but a big motivation for two more tough games in the "Group of Death." As for the other group G teams, it was a lopsided game between two top 5 ranked teams. Unfortunately, I was unable to see this game, but from the 4-0 score, and friends telling me it could've been more, I think it's really obvious how this went down. Germany stands strong as a leading World Cup contender, and Portugal will need Ronaldo more now than ever.
Belgium, the dark horses of the World Cup, struggled against Algeria in their first match. They conceded an early penalty, which Sofiane Feghouli was able to convert. In the second half, however, Belgium played much harder and through substitutes Dries Mertens and Marouane Fellaini they were able to get the two goals that put them ahead, and hold their lead until the ref blew his final whistle. The Belgians got the three points in the end, and that's all that really matters. Algeria played a good game, but in the end, while it may have been a good game for them, it won't help them get out of the group. Russia's match against South Korea was a huge one for me because it was the first game whose score I predicted correctly in my Yahoo Pick'em. The 1-1 draw came alive in the middle of the second half, where both sides were rapidly going back and forth, including a goal for each side. With the emergence of Algeria as a second place contender and only one point to South Korea and Russia, the second spot in group H is for the taking.
I'm still enjoying every moment I see of this World Cup, so my main suggestion is to soak in as much of it as you can, because what you get now will have to last four another four years.
Sunday, June 15, 2014
World Cup Groups A-D Review: Upsets and Surprises Galore!
I am disappointed to say that my predictions for the first World Cup games were off the mark at best. I'm writing this after a catastrophic start to group E which saw me missing both a game and a score prediction in stoppage time. Thanks, Switzerland. Anyways, here's what I thought of groups A-D's first games and what it means for the games ahead.
Group A had some rather questionable refereeing decisions. It's too bad these errors clouded the games themselves because they were really pretty good. Brazil and Croatia both played well in their opening match, and even though Croatia played well they did fall 3-1. I don't blame the ref for either major decision in that match because from his point of view the penalty was a penalty, and while their was a little embellishment, there still was some contact. And with the goal from Croatia that was negated, the ref blew the whistle even before the player that scored received the ball, so it isn't really like a goal was taken away. However, in the Mexico v. Cameroon match, two goals were taken away from Giovani Dos Santos, and while Mexico still played strong enough to get the win, goal difference may be a deciding factor in who comes second, Mexico or Croatia. I was not expecting Mexico to come out so strong, as I predicted a draw. Cameroon does not look like a team with enough power to score goals, and thus is basically out of the group. It's tough to choose who comes second, but I think Croatia has a stronger chance of beating Mexico than Mexico does in beating Croatia.
Can someone please tell me what happened to the Spain we all know? This anger and want for revenge from the Netherlands completely destroyed the Spaniards and it looked like Xabi Alonso's early penalty just made the Netherlands more ready to attack. van Persie had a beautiful header which changed the momentum of the game and the onslaught that followed ended in a 5-1 victory for the Dutch. Chile took care of business for the most part, despite a strong middle of the game from Australia. Tim Cahill was able to net a header but Chile took the match 3-1. Now Spain is really in trouble. I say they need to win their next two games to have a chance of making it out of the group. Their goal differential is just awful. And even with two wins, there is still a decent chance that Spain, Chile, and the Netherlands all finish with six points, taking out the Spanish on the goal differential tiebreaker.
Japan really gave me a heartbreak last night. They played a strong first half, but Ivory Coast just took so many shots that they were bound to make one or two eventually. The old 1-2 occurred in the middle of the second half when Didier Drogba, the beast himself, entered the game. He immediately turned things around a brought a 2-1 win for the elephants. Serge Aurier also provided assists on the two Ivorian goals. I'm happy with how Japan played, however, and I think they have a chance at Greece. Speaking of Greece, that was not pretty. They struggled to get shots off while on the other end James Rodriguez orchestrated an offensive powerhouse as the young Colombians swiftly took care of their opposition, ending in a 3-0 win. It also marked Greece's fourth consecutive World Cup game conceding off a set piece. That's a really alarming statistic. Overall, it seems like this group is pretty much decided, as Ivory Coast and Colombia looked really strong. However, much stranger things have happened, so you can't count out Japan and Greece.
It's crazy how much a difference one player's absence makes. Then again, who really knows whether Luis Suarez would've made a difference for Uruguay. The favorites in the group were shellshocked when Costa Rica, the 1000-1 odds of winning the World Cup Costa Rica, scored not one or two, but three goals in the second half unanswered to score a 3-1 win. Could Costa Rica advance now? There's a pretty good chance. They played surprisingly well. And how about Italy? The Italians played very good against the Brits, and Antonio Candreva was a big difference maker on the right wing. Mario Balotelli's header seemed to really crush the English team, as they couldn't get anything going. Nothing happened on the left side for them, and key players such as Wayne Rooney couldn't get an on-target shot off if their life depended on it. Scary. At least for them, Uruguay doesn't seem to be strong either. England will definitely need at least 4 points to move on, while Italy is sitting pretty at the moment, even without Gianluigi Buffon.
It's been a hard World Cup to call, but a really fun one to watch. Argentina and Leo Messi kick off tonight, while the USA takes on Ghana in a rainy Natal tomorrow. This is just the beginning of a great World Cup.
Thanks for reading,
Connor
Group A had some rather questionable refereeing decisions. It's too bad these errors clouded the games themselves because they were really pretty good. Brazil and Croatia both played well in their opening match, and even though Croatia played well they did fall 3-1. I don't blame the ref for either major decision in that match because from his point of view the penalty was a penalty, and while their was a little embellishment, there still was some contact. And with the goal from Croatia that was negated, the ref blew the whistle even before the player that scored received the ball, so it isn't really like a goal was taken away. However, in the Mexico v. Cameroon match, two goals were taken away from Giovani Dos Santos, and while Mexico still played strong enough to get the win, goal difference may be a deciding factor in who comes second, Mexico or Croatia. I was not expecting Mexico to come out so strong, as I predicted a draw. Cameroon does not look like a team with enough power to score goals, and thus is basically out of the group. It's tough to choose who comes second, but I think Croatia has a stronger chance of beating Mexico than Mexico does in beating Croatia.
Can someone please tell me what happened to the Spain we all know? This anger and want for revenge from the Netherlands completely destroyed the Spaniards and it looked like Xabi Alonso's early penalty just made the Netherlands more ready to attack. van Persie had a beautiful header which changed the momentum of the game and the onslaught that followed ended in a 5-1 victory for the Dutch. Chile took care of business for the most part, despite a strong middle of the game from Australia. Tim Cahill was able to net a header but Chile took the match 3-1. Now Spain is really in trouble. I say they need to win their next two games to have a chance of making it out of the group. Their goal differential is just awful. And even with two wins, there is still a decent chance that Spain, Chile, and the Netherlands all finish with six points, taking out the Spanish on the goal differential tiebreaker.
Japan really gave me a heartbreak last night. They played a strong first half, but Ivory Coast just took so many shots that they were bound to make one or two eventually. The old 1-2 occurred in the middle of the second half when Didier Drogba, the beast himself, entered the game. He immediately turned things around a brought a 2-1 win for the elephants. Serge Aurier also provided assists on the two Ivorian goals. I'm happy with how Japan played, however, and I think they have a chance at Greece. Speaking of Greece, that was not pretty. They struggled to get shots off while on the other end James Rodriguez orchestrated an offensive powerhouse as the young Colombians swiftly took care of their opposition, ending in a 3-0 win. It also marked Greece's fourth consecutive World Cup game conceding off a set piece. That's a really alarming statistic. Overall, it seems like this group is pretty much decided, as Ivory Coast and Colombia looked really strong. However, much stranger things have happened, so you can't count out Japan and Greece.
It's crazy how much a difference one player's absence makes. Then again, who really knows whether Luis Suarez would've made a difference for Uruguay. The favorites in the group were shellshocked when Costa Rica, the 1000-1 odds of winning the World Cup Costa Rica, scored not one or two, but three goals in the second half unanswered to score a 3-1 win. Could Costa Rica advance now? There's a pretty good chance. They played surprisingly well. And how about Italy? The Italians played very good against the Brits, and Antonio Candreva was a big difference maker on the right wing. Mario Balotelli's header seemed to really crush the English team, as they couldn't get anything going. Nothing happened on the left side for them, and key players such as Wayne Rooney couldn't get an on-target shot off if their life depended on it. Scary. At least for them, Uruguay doesn't seem to be strong either. England will definitely need at least 4 points to move on, while Italy is sitting pretty at the moment, even without Gianluigi Buffon.
It's been a hard World Cup to call, but a really fun one to watch. Argentina and Leo Messi kick off tonight, while the USA takes on Ghana in a rainy Natal tomorrow. This is just the beginning of a great World Cup.
Thanks for reading,
Connor
Friday, June 13, 2014
NBA Finals: How the Spurs are Winning, How the Heat Come Back
The NBA Finals seem to be drawing to a close a few games before most people expected it to. When the Spurs took care of the Thunder and the Heat took down the Pacers, it seemed like a foregone conclusion that the rematch of last season's NBA Finals would come down to a deciding game seven, just as it did in 2013. In reality, however, if not for a good few minutes down the stretch from Miami in game 2, the NBA Finals would already be over. The Heat, a team that came into this series 7-0 at home in the playoffs lost two in Miami, and to top it off, both were by double digits. Miami fans, (or is bandwagoners a better word?) booed their own team and left the game early. This is a result straight out of a San Antonio super-fan's dreams.
So how did this difference between expectations of a nail-biter series and the current runaway romp by the Spurs happen? How did Miami lose by a total of 40 points in two home games? First off, I think the general population went into this series underestimating the Spurs. I know, it seems dumb. The Spurs were the one seed and coasted through most of the playoffs. But in reality, we all know that the big story in basketball is always the Heat, and their constant news attention, whether it be praise or ridicule (and there is a fair amount of both) always seems to take precedence over anything else going on. They are a very polarizing team. 99% of people either love the Heat or hate them. So of course they will get more attention then the Spurs, giving off a false perception that they are a better team when in reality it is a very good matchup.
The Spurs also came into this series mad. They should've won the NBA Finals last year, and they know that. This team has had a year to taken in that loss and the pain felt during this long time since last years finals has made them understand their mistakes, grow as a team, and be ready to come back harder than ever. Coach Popovich has made them ready for this moment. The Spurs were just angry, and the Heat weren't ready for it.
So from this we can understand that the finals weren't the Heat trying to get past one more roadblock so they could hoist their third trophy in as many years. The Spurs are as good of a team as the Spurs, and most analysts won't tell you otherwise. Tim Duncan is a future hall-of-famer. The Spurs have been playing some of their best basketball of the year, and their teamwork and cooperation has been incredible. This and their consistency and strong defense have led to a domination of the defending champions. But the series isn't over yet. Here is specifically what Miami needs to do to make this a series again.
1) Close out on San Antonio's Shooters - A main reason for the Spurs' two wins in Miami has been that the Spurs are moving the ball incredibly well. What this is doing is leaving the Spurs open for many uncontested threes and mid range jumpers, which the Spurs are doing an excellent job of converting. This was seen most clearly in game three where the Spurs put up an astounding 41 first quarter points en route to shooting over 59% from the field for the game. It is extremely difficult to beat a team shooting that good.
2) Win the Battle of the Benches - The Spurs are a much deeper team than the Heat and are comfortable playing everyone on their team in any game. The Spurs have players like Danny Green, Boris Diaw, Manu Ginobilli, and Marco Belinelli that can come off the bench and really make a difference. These players are outperformed their bench counterparts on the Heat such as Rashard Lewis, Shane Battier, and Norris Cole. The Heat need to get these players more involved in their offense so they can throw the Spurs off with multiple threats to score every time down the court.
3) Pass the Ball More! - I love the assists stat because in my opinion it does a great job of evaluating teamwork and how well players are helping each other. Over the four games in this series, the Spurs have 102 assists to the Heat's 62. That's an average of ten assists more per game. This means the Heat have to do more on each possession by themselves to get open looks, making it harder for them to score. In game 4 alone, the Heat had 13 assists while Boris Diaw, a big man on the Spurs had 9 by himself. I just find that kind of sad.
4) Do What You Do Best - The Heat can be an amazing basketball team, and even if you hate the Heat you know it's in part because they're so good. I think the Heat are most dangerous when they are in an attacking mindset, driving the lane, and then either taking easy layups or kicking it back out to open perimeter jump shooters. When they do this effectively, they are nearly unstoppable. It is absolutely demoralizing for a team to play good defense for 20 seconds of a 24 second shot clock for Lebron to then drive and kick it out to Chris Bosh or Ray Allen for a three. And the Heat are so good at this. Right now the Spurs are beating them at their own game, and the Heat need to change that or they'll be goners.
It's always interesting when a series gets close, and from a neutral point of view seeing these two great teams get to play seven games of ball is a wonderful thing. However, this won't happen if the Heat don't make some serious adjustments fast. Oh, and it would also help if LeBron didn't cramp, and San Antonio could make sure their AC was functioning.
Thanks for reading,
Connor
So how did this difference between expectations of a nail-biter series and the current runaway romp by the Spurs happen? How did Miami lose by a total of 40 points in two home games? First off, I think the general population went into this series underestimating the Spurs. I know, it seems dumb. The Spurs were the one seed and coasted through most of the playoffs. But in reality, we all know that the big story in basketball is always the Heat, and their constant news attention, whether it be praise or ridicule (and there is a fair amount of both) always seems to take precedence over anything else going on. They are a very polarizing team. 99% of people either love the Heat or hate them. So of course they will get more attention then the Spurs, giving off a false perception that they are a better team when in reality it is a very good matchup.
The Spurs also came into this series mad. They should've won the NBA Finals last year, and they know that. This team has had a year to taken in that loss and the pain felt during this long time since last years finals has made them understand their mistakes, grow as a team, and be ready to come back harder than ever. Coach Popovich has made them ready for this moment. The Spurs were just angry, and the Heat weren't ready for it.
So from this we can understand that the finals weren't the Heat trying to get past one more roadblock so they could hoist their third trophy in as many years. The Spurs are as good of a team as the Spurs, and most analysts won't tell you otherwise. Tim Duncan is a future hall-of-famer. The Spurs have been playing some of their best basketball of the year, and their teamwork and cooperation has been incredible. This and their consistency and strong defense have led to a domination of the defending champions. But the series isn't over yet. Here is specifically what Miami needs to do to make this a series again.
1) Close out on San Antonio's Shooters - A main reason for the Spurs' two wins in Miami has been that the Spurs are moving the ball incredibly well. What this is doing is leaving the Spurs open for many uncontested threes and mid range jumpers, which the Spurs are doing an excellent job of converting. This was seen most clearly in game three where the Spurs put up an astounding 41 first quarter points en route to shooting over 59% from the field for the game. It is extremely difficult to beat a team shooting that good.
2) Win the Battle of the Benches - The Spurs are a much deeper team than the Heat and are comfortable playing everyone on their team in any game. The Spurs have players like Danny Green, Boris Diaw, Manu Ginobilli, and Marco Belinelli that can come off the bench and really make a difference. These players are outperformed their bench counterparts on the Heat such as Rashard Lewis, Shane Battier, and Norris Cole. The Heat need to get these players more involved in their offense so they can throw the Spurs off with multiple threats to score every time down the court.
3) Pass the Ball More! - I love the assists stat because in my opinion it does a great job of evaluating teamwork and how well players are helping each other. Over the four games in this series, the Spurs have 102 assists to the Heat's 62. That's an average of ten assists more per game. This means the Heat have to do more on each possession by themselves to get open looks, making it harder for them to score. In game 4 alone, the Heat had 13 assists while Boris Diaw, a big man on the Spurs had 9 by himself. I just find that kind of sad.
4) Do What You Do Best - The Heat can be an amazing basketball team, and even if you hate the Heat you know it's in part because they're so good. I think the Heat are most dangerous when they are in an attacking mindset, driving the lane, and then either taking easy layups or kicking it back out to open perimeter jump shooters. When they do this effectively, they are nearly unstoppable. It is absolutely demoralizing for a team to play good defense for 20 seconds of a 24 second shot clock for Lebron to then drive and kick it out to Chris Bosh or Ray Allen for a three. And the Heat are so good at this. Right now the Spurs are beating them at their own game, and the Heat need to change that or they'll be goners.
It's always interesting when a series gets close, and from a neutral point of view seeing these two great teams get to play seven games of ball is a wonderful thing. However, this won't happen if the Heat don't make some serious adjustments fast. Oh, and it would also help if LeBron didn't cramp, and San Antonio could make sure their AC was functioning.
Thanks for reading,
Connor
Thursday, June 12, 2014
Stop Saying Sports Are Rigged by Referees!
I am going to get something off my chest that's been there for a long time. It is not acceptable to blame every questionable refereeing decision in professional sports on the rigging of games. There are a lot of reasons for this. First off, and the most obvious, is that referees control very little of what actually happens during any professional sports match. In the NBA, refs call fouls once every minute or two. In soccer, a little less frequent, and football and hockey follow similar patterns. The fact that most of the game is played by the players means that many games couldn't be rigged even if refs wanted them to be.
Secondly, I like to think there is a bit of integrity in professional sports. Maybe I'm just crazy, but referees are there for the big games for a reason: they qualify as being top level refs. And I would assume that the majority of these refs wouldn't be willing to blatantly throw a game. In addition, I would think that throwing games is not a one or two man operation. These guys would get caught rather often if rigging of games occurred.
Thirdly, let's go over a history of known game rigging. In 1919 the Chicago White Sox threw the World Series. These players were all subsequently banned for life. That story got out, as I imagine many rigging stories today would if they were to occur. Sometimes teams tank for draft picks, or lose for a more desirable playoff position or sit players in order to avoid injury. These are all separate matters that don't have to do with the outcome of matches being decided by money. And one last thing: none of these scenarios have involved referees.
Let me pose a question: do referees rig matches? You may be surprised to find out, but my answer is yes. Some referees do rig matches. However, this happens infrequently and not to the same level that many people accuse it to be. One notable scenario is when in 2012 one of the NFL's replacement refs chose to ref a game with a player on his fantasy team. However, he did not alter the course of that game, and again, was banned. I believe, on a similar note, that if a referee has a favorite team, which most don't, but some do, that they may let a call or two slip. However, nothing major enough to be a blatantly obvious game fix. The World Cup tries to stop this by using referees from a different continent than the teams in the game. In addition, it is known that some refs succumb to a home field advantage where they are more likely to "assist" the home team. Again somewhat understandable, but again nothing too major. Those are the most likely times a game is fixed in any sort of way. Do they involve money? No.
Game fixing has happened, and will inevitably continue to happen, but not near on the sort of level people suggest. I agree that some games are rigged for many, but very few. I am absolutely sick of seeing a questionable decision blow up over the media because people have their little phony conspiracy theories that something had to be up for a ref to make that call. People say ridiculous things such as "I wonder how much he was paid to make that call" or "the player of the game was definitely the ref in that one." Let me introduce those people to reality. The refs are real people, and people have a tendency to make mistakes. In addition, several refs have publicly apologized to the media when making a faulty call and realizing it after the game had concluded. Most notably Jim Joyce, a baseball umpire, when he mistakenly called a runner safe at first base, ruining pitcher Armando Galarraga's perfect game in 2010 when a correct call - an out, would have ended the game.
Referee's are human people. They get only one angle on a play and have to make a decision that may change the fate of a game. And these plays happen fast. Us watching at home get as many replays as we want. But most referees see every play one time. Not to mention all the pressure that goes into having a responsibility like refereeing a professional sports game, a game people bet on. In an ideal world, there would be some kind of robot or technology deciding if their is a foul or a flag or a penalty on any play, and while that may occur in the future, that doesn't happen today.
I genuinely feel bad for referees that make mistakes. These people get yelled at, disgraced, in extreme situations receive death threats. Fans and players and coaches alike have to realize that these moments are inevitable parts of sports and that sometimes a call goes for you and sometimes against you, and that over the course of time an equal amount will go in both directions. It is a poor display of character and sportsmanship to blame the refs anytime your team loses. Because in reality, regardless of what call a referee makes, the opposing team still had to make that touchdown, or score that goal, or make that free throw. Referees never add numbers on to the scoreboard by themselves. This is a huge fact that many people seem to ignore, and after going on Facebook, or the comments section of articles and game recaps time and time again, I think something has to be said about it.
Now the underlying topic of conversation here, and what really pushed me over the edge was this past World Cup game that saw Brazil defeat Croatia 3-1. I admit I don't think all the calls in that game were the best, but they were the refs calls nonetheless, and I believe there is a reasonable defense for every call Yuichi Nishimura made, and that they were all at that point in time acceptable calls, and in some cases acceptable errors. That is all I will say at this point in time, but I will give my full reasoning and rebuttals to the arguments that Nishimura rigged the game in my first World Cup recap blog going out which I plan to go out on Sunday.
What this all comes down to is that human error is an inherent part of sports, and that like it or not, it's going to be there for a very long time. It's always been there, and it may always be there. As a sports team, your job is to have a higher number on the scoreboard than your opponent at the end of a game, and that decides who wins and who loses. If a referee has a small impact on that, due to a right or wrong call, it is the job of the athletes to accept it and play harder. You aren't going to change the game, and you shouldn't resort to blaming game rigging for ending up on the wrong side of the score. Rigging happens, but it happens infrequently. Refs are responsible for a few things, but nowhere near everything. Roll with the punches, suck it up. Sometimes you get robbed, and that's life. Basically, even if you may think a game is rigged, realize that the likelihood of you being right is low. So it's probably best to keep your mouth shut, and enjoy your sports the way they are.
Thanks for reading,
Connor
Secondly, I like to think there is a bit of integrity in professional sports. Maybe I'm just crazy, but referees are there for the big games for a reason: they qualify as being top level refs. And I would assume that the majority of these refs wouldn't be willing to blatantly throw a game. In addition, I would think that throwing games is not a one or two man operation. These guys would get caught rather often if rigging of games occurred.
Thirdly, let's go over a history of known game rigging. In 1919 the Chicago White Sox threw the World Series. These players were all subsequently banned for life. That story got out, as I imagine many rigging stories today would if they were to occur. Sometimes teams tank for draft picks, or lose for a more desirable playoff position or sit players in order to avoid injury. These are all separate matters that don't have to do with the outcome of matches being decided by money. And one last thing: none of these scenarios have involved referees.
Let me pose a question: do referees rig matches? You may be surprised to find out, but my answer is yes. Some referees do rig matches. However, this happens infrequently and not to the same level that many people accuse it to be. One notable scenario is when in 2012 one of the NFL's replacement refs chose to ref a game with a player on his fantasy team. However, he did not alter the course of that game, and again, was banned. I believe, on a similar note, that if a referee has a favorite team, which most don't, but some do, that they may let a call or two slip. However, nothing major enough to be a blatantly obvious game fix. The World Cup tries to stop this by using referees from a different continent than the teams in the game. In addition, it is known that some refs succumb to a home field advantage where they are more likely to "assist" the home team. Again somewhat understandable, but again nothing too major. Those are the most likely times a game is fixed in any sort of way. Do they involve money? No.
Game fixing has happened, and will inevitably continue to happen, but not near on the sort of level people suggest. I agree that some games are rigged for many, but very few. I am absolutely sick of seeing a questionable decision blow up over the media because people have their little phony conspiracy theories that something had to be up for a ref to make that call. People say ridiculous things such as "I wonder how much he was paid to make that call" or "the player of the game was definitely the ref in that one." Let me introduce those people to reality. The refs are real people, and people have a tendency to make mistakes. In addition, several refs have publicly apologized to the media when making a faulty call and realizing it after the game had concluded. Most notably Jim Joyce, a baseball umpire, when he mistakenly called a runner safe at first base, ruining pitcher Armando Galarraga's perfect game in 2010 when a correct call - an out, would have ended the game.
Referee's are human people. They get only one angle on a play and have to make a decision that may change the fate of a game. And these plays happen fast. Us watching at home get as many replays as we want. But most referees see every play one time. Not to mention all the pressure that goes into having a responsibility like refereeing a professional sports game, a game people bet on. In an ideal world, there would be some kind of robot or technology deciding if their is a foul or a flag or a penalty on any play, and while that may occur in the future, that doesn't happen today.
I genuinely feel bad for referees that make mistakes. These people get yelled at, disgraced, in extreme situations receive death threats. Fans and players and coaches alike have to realize that these moments are inevitable parts of sports and that sometimes a call goes for you and sometimes against you, and that over the course of time an equal amount will go in both directions. It is a poor display of character and sportsmanship to blame the refs anytime your team loses. Because in reality, regardless of what call a referee makes, the opposing team still had to make that touchdown, or score that goal, or make that free throw. Referees never add numbers on to the scoreboard by themselves. This is a huge fact that many people seem to ignore, and after going on Facebook, or the comments section of articles and game recaps time and time again, I think something has to be said about it.
Now the underlying topic of conversation here, and what really pushed me over the edge was this past World Cup game that saw Brazil defeat Croatia 3-1. I admit I don't think all the calls in that game were the best, but they were the refs calls nonetheless, and I believe there is a reasonable defense for every call Yuichi Nishimura made, and that they were all at that point in time acceptable calls, and in some cases acceptable errors. That is all I will say at this point in time, but I will give my full reasoning and rebuttals to the arguments that Nishimura rigged the game in my first World Cup recap blog going out which I plan to go out on Sunday.
What this all comes down to is that human error is an inherent part of sports, and that like it or not, it's going to be there for a very long time. It's always been there, and it may always be there. As a sports team, your job is to have a higher number on the scoreboard than your opponent at the end of a game, and that decides who wins and who loses. If a referee has a small impact on that, due to a right or wrong call, it is the job of the athletes to accept it and play harder. You aren't going to change the game, and you shouldn't resort to blaming game rigging for ending up on the wrong side of the score. Rigging happens, but it happens infrequently. Refs are responsible for a few things, but nowhere near everything. Roll with the punches, suck it up. Sometimes you get robbed, and that's life. Basically, even if you may think a game is rigged, realize that the likelihood of you being right is low. So it's probably best to keep your mouth shut, and enjoy your sports the way they are.
Thanks for reading,
Connor
FIFA World Cup 2014 Group Stage Overview Part 2 (Groups E-H)
Welcome to part 2 of my group stage overview for the upcoming World Cup. If you would like to see my overview for groups A-D, check the previous blog entry. This time I'm taking down groups E-H, which includes the GROUP OF DEATH. So without further ado, let's get cracking!
GROUP E: FRANCE, ECUADOR, SWITZERLAND, HONDURAS
Well, it looks like France caught a pretty good break. After all, the last few weeks have not been good for les Bleus. The team has been stripped of its two best players: Franck Ribery and Samir Nasri. Nasri didn't get along well with the coach apparently, and Ribery is currently injured. However, even missing some great playmakers, some basic facts still remain. 1) They have one of the best goalkeepers in the world with Hugo Lloris. 2) The team is full of players from the Premier League, Ligue 1, and La Liga BBVA, which is always a good thing. 3) They are the best team in an underwhelming group which should see them advance.
Ecuador is a team led by one man, and that man is Manchester United's Antonio Valencia. The fast and skillful player is the bright spot on an otherwise meh team. One thing they do have, however, is team unity and experience, which should never be underestimated. They also have the home continent advantage in their favor, even though they may well be South America's weakest squad. In this group, they have a decent chance of advancing to the knockout round, as long as they can overcome a weak defense.
Switzerland is a team that is highly underestimated. They are defensively sound, and are returning mostly the same defense that over the last two World Cups had a streak of 551 minutes played without allowing a goal. You shouldn't need me to tell you how absolutely bonkers that is. Diego Benaglio returns as goalkeeper and will be difficult to beat. There is also a deadly duo on the right side pairing youth and experience with Stephan Lichtsteiner and Xherdan Shaqiri. Even though I hate to continue saying the same things, the easiness of the group benefits Switzerland's chances. I see them as a second place team.
It would be an understatement to call Honduras the underdogs in this group. Luckily for them, they'll be riding a wave of confidence after a scoreless draw with England in their last friendly. This was a big game for a team needing some help if they are to advance out of group E. Luis Fernando Suarez's team is not without firepower, however, with experienced defenders like Maynor Figueroa and a talented youngster in right midfield named Andy Najar. This team will have some extra motivation as well, as they could be the first group to make the knockout round in Honduras's third World Cup.
PREDICTIONS:
France: Defeats Honduras, Ecuador, Draws Switzerland (7 Points) ***
Switzerland: Defeats Honduras, Draws Ecuador, France (5 Points) ***
Ecuador: Defeats Honduras, Draws Switzerland, Loses to France (4 Points)
Honduras: Loses to France, Switzerland, Ecuador (0 Points)
GROUP F: NIGERIA, BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA, ARGENTINA, IRAN
Messi's group is one with an interesting storyline. Nigeria has come out of nowhere to be the second best team in Africa next to Ivory Coast. Bosnia is in their first World Cup. I really haven't heard anyone talk about Iran. How will they all do? Let's see.
Argentina is led by the best player in the world and is the prime candidate to take down the home nation of Brazil. The attack on this team is just unreal. Messi, Sergio Aguero, Gonzalo Higuain, Angel di Maria, and Ezequiel Lavezzi. That's enough to make any potential opponent freeze in their tracks. They have a weak defense however, and besides Javier Mascherano, they are vulnerable. But Argentina's main focus is to SCORE GOALS. And they can do that with the best teams.
Bosnia & Herzegovina have become a fan favorite for many. The European darlings in their first World Cup, what a good story. What less people realize, however, is that this is actually a pretty good team. Edin Dzeko is the big man at striker, and a powerful player at Manchester City. Asmir Begovic is in goal, and captain Emir Spahic is an older player but still a very effective one. However, I believe experience in big situations is necessary for success, and this team doesn't have it. Cinderella story or not, I don't like them, although it wouldn't surprise me if they did advance like many expect.
Nigeria is a team quickly gaining speed. These guys are young, motivated, and ready to make the knockout round for the first time since 1998. 5 of the 7 midfielders on the team are 23 or younger. Ahmed Musa and Emmanuel Emenike are strong strikers with complementing play styles, and midfielders like John Obi Mikel and Victor Moses have valuable Premier League experience that should help them try to get out of this group where Bosnia is their main competition.
Iran is one of the weakest teams in the entire 32 team field. Jevad Nekounam is a midfielder that has by far the most experience of anyone on the team. While they may be one of the best in Asia, there aren't many good teams in the world's largest continent. They could muster a draw or two, but they will not be advancing past group F.
PREDICTIONS:
Argentina: Defeats Nigeria, Bosnia, Iran (9 Points) ***
Nigeria: Defeats Iran, Draws Bosnia, Loses to Argentina (4 Points) *** Wins on goal difference
Bosnia: Defeats Iran, Draws Nigeria, Loses to Argentina (4 Points)
Iran: Loses to Nigeria, Bosnia, Argentina (0 Points)
GROUP G: USA, PORTUGAL, GERMANY, GHANA
At last, here it is: the dreaded group of death. This one is going to be amazing. All four of these teams advanced to the knockout stages in the last World Cup. USA is trying to make the knockout stages twice in a row for the first time ever, but they'll have to beat Ghana who has taken them out of the last two World Cups. Ghana is trying to prove that African teams are not to be underestimated. Germany wants the world to know that they are the best, and Portugal is riding Ronaldo's prime as this is his best chance to win a World Cup. All 6 games in this group will be exciting.
Jurgen Klinsmann's has made headlines by leaving Landon Donovan, the best US player of all time off the team, and saying publicly that a win is unrealistic. I personally believe these were poor moves, as Donovan is the leader of the team and you always have to believe you have a chance. Clint Dempsey is the new man with the armband for the US, and Everton's Tim Howard returns as goalie. They also have some players with relatively little national team experience, such as Graham Zusi, Chris Wondolowski, and Brad Davis. The Americans will have a difficult time this World Cup, but advancing past the group stages is a reasonable goal.
Portugal will need their star Cristiano Ronaldo to put on a heck of a show. Simply put, if he is performing, these guys will be very tough to beat. To help out Ronaldo they have a strong midfield with the likes of Nani, Joao Moutinho, and Raul Meireles. Pepe and Fabio Coentrao are the star defenders who have bonding through playing at Real Madrid. Along with Ronaldo, these players are confident and playing well, even managing to win the Champions League this past season. Portugal is a scary team, and one that could miss the group stages, or be playing deep in the tournament.
Germany is going all out for a win this World Cup. Anything less than the title will be a disappointment. It's unfortunate they had to draw the group of death, as they will be tested even before they reach the knockout stages. But the Germans needn't worry. They have Manuel Neuer, who I believe is the best goalie in the world. They also have what I say is the best midfield in the world. Bastian Schweinsteiger, Mesut Ozil, Marco Reus, and Mario Gotze are just a few of the players to watch out for. Not to mention Miroslav Klose, the 36 year old striker who has 14 World Cup goals in his first 3 World Cups. In his final outing, he needs just two goals to be the highest scorer in World Cup history.
Ghana is seen by many as the worst team in the group, but really they have just as good odds as Portugal or the US of taking the second spot in the group. In their last game before going to Brazil, they smashed South Korea 4-0 including a hat trick from striker Jordan Ayew. Ayew and his brother Andre will be trying to take out the US for a third straight time. FC Shalke 04s' Kevin Prince-Boateng is a well rounded player with a good shot. Striker Asamoah Gyan is the captain of a team which features two strong Serie A players in midfield: Juventus's Kwadwo Asamoah and AC Milan's Michael Essien. Don't be surprised if they advance.
PREDICTIONS:
Germany: Defeats Portugal, USA, Ghana (9 Points) ***
Portugal: Defeats Ghana, Draws USA, Loses to Germany (4 Points) ***
USA: Draws Portugal, Ghana, Loses to Germany (2 Points)
Ghana: Draws USA, Loses to Portugal, Germany (1 Point)
GROUP H: RUSSIA, SOUTH KOREA, ALGERIA, BELGIUM
The Russians are another team not getting too much publicity, but they are a strong team nonetheless that even has a shot at winning this group, albeit an unlikely scenario. What many people don't realize is that in World Cup qualifying the Russians won their group, a group that included Portugal. This team hasn't made a World Cup since 2002 and are still looking for their first knockout round appearance. Igor Denisov is the captain of this team that includes midfielders Alan Dzagoev and Yuri Zhirkov. Aleksandr Kerzhakov is the striker and Igor Akinfeev is in goal. One thing this team has is that every player plays in the Russian League. They all know each other well, now they just have to turn it into success.
South Korea has left off Lee Dong Gook, one of their top players, and instead have chosen Arsenal's Park Chu-Young and Borussia Dortmund's Ji Dong-Won to be strikers instead of Gook. This is a solid team that has players all over the world, but as I have mentioned earlier, had a difficult loss to Ghana earlier this week. It remains to be seen if they will be able to get over that loss and regroup in Brazil, but they have a chance in this group.
Algeria is a team led by young winger Sofiane Feghouli that is better than expected. The Valencia CF player will hope to spark a team rated #22 in the FIFA rankings. Algeria didn't score a goal in the 2010 World Cup against the US, England, or Slovenia, but only conceded twice, proving they have an underrated defense. Madjid Bougherra was on that team and will try to inspire the defense to have a similar showing in this World Cup.
Belgium is the last team for me to give my input on. They are the darlings, the dark horses, the team out of nowhere. Many people love these guys, and I'm no exception. These guys have a legitimate chance of making the semis, and with enough luck maybe the finals. They are very young, and incredibly good. 22 year old Thibaut Courtois was the goalkeeper for an Atletico Madrid team that won La Liga BBVA. Chelsea stud Eden Hazard is the star of the team, however, and youngster forwards Romelu Lukaku and Kevin Mirallas are other top Premier League options. Vincent Kompany and Thomas Vermaelen are the vice-captains and center backs making sure no one scores on the Belgian team. The question for Belgium is if they can put their abilities together and become a force to be reckoned with.
PREDICTIONS:
Belgium: Defeats South Korea, Algeria, Draws Russia (7 Points) ***
Russia: Defeats Algeria, Draws Belgium, South Korea (5 Points) ***
South Korea: Draws Russia, Algeria, Loses to Belgium (2 Points)
Algeria: Draws South Korea, Loses to Belgium, Russia (1 Point)
Those are my group stage predictions. Now watch as much of the World Cup as you can, and I'll be here giving my thoughts and recaps along the way.
Have fun,
Connor
GROUP E: FRANCE, ECUADOR, SWITZERLAND, HONDURAS
Well, it looks like France caught a pretty good break. After all, the last few weeks have not been good for les Bleus. The team has been stripped of its two best players: Franck Ribery and Samir Nasri. Nasri didn't get along well with the coach apparently, and Ribery is currently injured. However, even missing some great playmakers, some basic facts still remain. 1) They have one of the best goalkeepers in the world with Hugo Lloris. 2) The team is full of players from the Premier League, Ligue 1, and La Liga BBVA, which is always a good thing. 3) They are the best team in an underwhelming group which should see them advance.
Ecuador is a team led by one man, and that man is Manchester United's Antonio Valencia. The fast and skillful player is the bright spot on an otherwise meh team. One thing they do have, however, is team unity and experience, which should never be underestimated. They also have the home continent advantage in their favor, even though they may well be South America's weakest squad. In this group, they have a decent chance of advancing to the knockout round, as long as they can overcome a weak defense.
Switzerland is a team that is highly underestimated. They are defensively sound, and are returning mostly the same defense that over the last two World Cups had a streak of 551 minutes played without allowing a goal. You shouldn't need me to tell you how absolutely bonkers that is. Diego Benaglio returns as goalkeeper and will be difficult to beat. There is also a deadly duo on the right side pairing youth and experience with Stephan Lichtsteiner and Xherdan Shaqiri. Even though I hate to continue saying the same things, the easiness of the group benefits Switzerland's chances. I see them as a second place team.
It would be an understatement to call Honduras the underdogs in this group. Luckily for them, they'll be riding a wave of confidence after a scoreless draw with England in their last friendly. This was a big game for a team needing some help if they are to advance out of group E. Luis Fernando Suarez's team is not without firepower, however, with experienced defenders like Maynor Figueroa and a talented youngster in right midfield named Andy Najar. This team will have some extra motivation as well, as they could be the first group to make the knockout round in Honduras's third World Cup.
PREDICTIONS:
France: Defeats Honduras, Ecuador, Draws Switzerland (7 Points) ***
Switzerland: Defeats Honduras, Draws Ecuador, France (5 Points) ***
Ecuador: Defeats Honduras, Draws Switzerland, Loses to France (4 Points)
Honduras: Loses to France, Switzerland, Ecuador (0 Points)
GROUP F: NIGERIA, BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA, ARGENTINA, IRAN
Messi's group is one with an interesting storyline. Nigeria has come out of nowhere to be the second best team in Africa next to Ivory Coast. Bosnia is in their first World Cup. I really haven't heard anyone talk about Iran. How will they all do? Let's see.
Argentina is led by the best player in the world and is the prime candidate to take down the home nation of Brazil. The attack on this team is just unreal. Messi, Sergio Aguero, Gonzalo Higuain, Angel di Maria, and Ezequiel Lavezzi. That's enough to make any potential opponent freeze in their tracks. They have a weak defense however, and besides Javier Mascherano, they are vulnerable. But Argentina's main focus is to SCORE GOALS. And they can do that with the best teams.
Bosnia & Herzegovina have become a fan favorite for many. The European darlings in their first World Cup, what a good story. What less people realize, however, is that this is actually a pretty good team. Edin Dzeko is the big man at striker, and a powerful player at Manchester City. Asmir Begovic is in goal, and captain Emir Spahic is an older player but still a very effective one. However, I believe experience in big situations is necessary for success, and this team doesn't have it. Cinderella story or not, I don't like them, although it wouldn't surprise me if they did advance like many expect.
Nigeria is a team quickly gaining speed. These guys are young, motivated, and ready to make the knockout round for the first time since 1998. 5 of the 7 midfielders on the team are 23 or younger. Ahmed Musa and Emmanuel Emenike are strong strikers with complementing play styles, and midfielders like John Obi Mikel and Victor Moses have valuable Premier League experience that should help them try to get out of this group where Bosnia is their main competition.
Iran is one of the weakest teams in the entire 32 team field. Jevad Nekounam is a midfielder that has by far the most experience of anyone on the team. While they may be one of the best in Asia, there aren't many good teams in the world's largest continent. They could muster a draw or two, but they will not be advancing past group F.
PREDICTIONS:
Argentina: Defeats Nigeria, Bosnia, Iran (9 Points) ***
Nigeria: Defeats Iran, Draws Bosnia, Loses to Argentina (4 Points) *** Wins on goal difference
Bosnia: Defeats Iran, Draws Nigeria, Loses to Argentina (4 Points)
Iran: Loses to Nigeria, Bosnia, Argentina (0 Points)
GROUP G: USA, PORTUGAL, GERMANY, GHANA
At last, here it is: the dreaded group of death. This one is going to be amazing. All four of these teams advanced to the knockout stages in the last World Cup. USA is trying to make the knockout stages twice in a row for the first time ever, but they'll have to beat Ghana who has taken them out of the last two World Cups. Ghana is trying to prove that African teams are not to be underestimated. Germany wants the world to know that they are the best, and Portugal is riding Ronaldo's prime as this is his best chance to win a World Cup. All 6 games in this group will be exciting.
Jurgen Klinsmann's has made headlines by leaving Landon Donovan, the best US player of all time off the team, and saying publicly that a win is unrealistic. I personally believe these were poor moves, as Donovan is the leader of the team and you always have to believe you have a chance. Clint Dempsey is the new man with the armband for the US, and Everton's Tim Howard returns as goalie. They also have some players with relatively little national team experience, such as Graham Zusi, Chris Wondolowski, and Brad Davis. The Americans will have a difficult time this World Cup, but advancing past the group stages is a reasonable goal.
Portugal will need their star Cristiano Ronaldo to put on a heck of a show. Simply put, if he is performing, these guys will be very tough to beat. To help out Ronaldo they have a strong midfield with the likes of Nani, Joao Moutinho, and Raul Meireles. Pepe and Fabio Coentrao are the star defenders who have bonding through playing at Real Madrid. Along with Ronaldo, these players are confident and playing well, even managing to win the Champions League this past season. Portugal is a scary team, and one that could miss the group stages, or be playing deep in the tournament.
Germany is going all out for a win this World Cup. Anything less than the title will be a disappointment. It's unfortunate they had to draw the group of death, as they will be tested even before they reach the knockout stages. But the Germans needn't worry. They have Manuel Neuer, who I believe is the best goalie in the world. They also have what I say is the best midfield in the world. Bastian Schweinsteiger, Mesut Ozil, Marco Reus, and Mario Gotze are just a few of the players to watch out for. Not to mention Miroslav Klose, the 36 year old striker who has 14 World Cup goals in his first 3 World Cups. In his final outing, he needs just two goals to be the highest scorer in World Cup history.
Ghana is seen by many as the worst team in the group, but really they have just as good odds as Portugal or the US of taking the second spot in the group. In their last game before going to Brazil, they smashed South Korea 4-0 including a hat trick from striker Jordan Ayew. Ayew and his brother Andre will be trying to take out the US for a third straight time. FC Shalke 04s' Kevin Prince-Boateng is a well rounded player with a good shot. Striker Asamoah Gyan is the captain of a team which features two strong Serie A players in midfield: Juventus's Kwadwo Asamoah and AC Milan's Michael Essien. Don't be surprised if they advance.
PREDICTIONS:
Germany: Defeats Portugal, USA, Ghana (9 Points) ***
Portugal: Defeats Ghana, Draws USA, Loses to Germany (4 Points) ***
USA: Draws Portugal, Ghana, Loses to Germany (2 Points)
Ghana: Draws USA, Loses to Portugal, Germany (1 Point)
GROUP H: RUSSIA, SOUTH KOREA, ALGERIA, BELGIUM
The Russians are another team not getting too much publicity, but they are a strong team nonetheless that even has a shot at winning this group, albeit an unlikely scenario. What many people don't realize is that in World Cup qualifying the Russians won their group, a group that included Portugal. This team hasn't made a World Cup since 2002 and are still looking for their first knockout round appearance. Igor Denisov is the captain of this team that includes midfielders Alan Dzagoev and Yuri Zhirkov. Aleksandr Kerzhakov is the striker and Igor Akinfeev is in goal. One thing this team has is that every player plays in the Russian League. They all know each other well, now they just have to turn it into success.
South Korea has left off Lee Dong Gook, one of their top players, and instead have chosen Arsenal's Park Chu-Young and Borussia Dortmund's Ji Dong-Won to be strikers instead of Gook. This is a solid team that has players all over the world, but as I have mentioned earlier, had a difficult loss to Ghana earlier this week. It remains to be seen if they will be able to get over that loss and regroup in Brazil, but they have a chance in this group.
Algeria is a team led by young winger Sofiane Feghouli that is better than expected. The Valencia CF player will hope to spark a team rated #22 in the FIFA rankings. Algeria didn't score a goal in the 2010 World Cup against the US, England, or Slovenia, but only conceded twice, proving they have an underrated defense. Madjid Bougherra was on that team and will try to inspire the defense to have a similar showing in this World Cup.
Belgium is the last team for me to give my input on. They are the darlings, the dark horses, the team out of nowhere. Many people love these guys, and I'm no exception. These guys have a legitimate chance of making the semis, and with enough luck maybe the finals. They are very young, and incredibly good. 22 year old Thibaut Courtois was the goalkeeper for an Atletico Madrid team that won La Liga BBVA. Chelsea stud Eden Hazard is the star of the team, however, and youngster forwards Romelu Lukaku and Kevin Mirallas are other top Premier League options. Vincent Kompany and Thomas Vermaelen are the vice-captains and center backs making sure no one scores on the Belgian team. The question for Belgium is if they can put their abilities together and become a force to be reckoned with.
PREDICTIONS:
Belgium: Defeats South Korea, Algeria, Draws Russia (7 Points) ***
Russia: Defeats Algeria, Draws Belgium, South Korea (5 Points) ***
South Korea: Draws Russia, Algeria, Loses to Belgium (2 Points)
Algeria: Draws South Korea, Loses to Belgium, Russia (1 Point)
Those are my group stage predictions. Now watch as much of the World Cup as you can, and I'll be here giving my thoughts and recaps along the way.
Have fun,
Connor
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
FIFA World Cup 2014 Group Stage Overview Part 1 (Groups A-D)
It is only two days until the World Cup, at least at the time I'm writing this. The World Cup is the biggest sporting event in the world, and is great because it is an international display of both global unity and the true spirit of competition. It is an event made even more special due to its rarity, only occurring once every four years. The 2014 World Cup from Brazil has drawn some criticism due to political instability in Brazil, but is due to be an excellent display of the beautiful game to the sheer number of quality teams. There are the hometown favorites Brazil, and rivals Argentina led by the best player in the world, Lionel Messi. There are no shortage of European powerhouses either, most notably Spain and Germany, considered by many to be the two best teams in the world. There are also a few great stories in the World Cup, such as everyone's favorite dark horses, Belgium, a Bosnia and Herzegovina team experiencing its first World Cup, and a number of teams attempting to live up to tough expectations, such as England, Italy, France, and the United States. Seeing how huge of an occasion this is, I plan to write frequently about the events in and around this World Cup from Brazil. The first of these entries will be a two part blog breaking down the group stages. This blog is the first of these two entries, and here I will decipher groups A through D, giving my predictions and thoughts for each, starting with group A.
GROUP A: BRAZIL, MEXICO, CROATIA, CAMEROON
This first group holds the favorite for the World Cup, as well as the host city - Brazil. Captained by PSG's Thiago Silva, this group is full of experience from a back line featuring the aforementioned Silva, Dani Alves, and David Luis. However, the team also features a number of talented, playmaking youngsters making World Cup debuts, such as Neymar, Willian, Bernard, and Hulk. I expect this team to handily take the group, but calling second place is no easy task.
I'll start with Mexico, a defensive minded team thats inability to score goals left them in jeopardy of missing the World Cup altogether. That isn't to say they have a bad set of strikers, however. Javier "Chicharito" Hernandez and Giovani dos Santos are capable of doing the job well, and along with players like Andres Guardado, and Carlos Pena the team has enough pace to keep up with most teams. However, in the end expect Mexico to be playing potentially in three close games.
Most people won't think twice about Croatia making the knockout stages. This is where most people are wrong. Quietly, the Croats have put together a World Cup worthy team that has just as good a chance as Mexico of advancing out of group A. They have a solid defense led by captain Darijo Srna, and one of the best midfielders in the world in Real Madrid's Luka Modric. Leading them at striker is Bayern Munich's Mario Mandzukic, who has a golden head capable of knocking in crosses almost at will. They have enough to challenge.
Cameroon is definitely the outsider in this group, but they aren't to be underestimated either. They have an aging star in Samuel Eto'o who despite his age can still score as he has shown at the club level. In addition, let me make this simple: they have a good defense. Aurelien Chedjou, Henri Bedimo, Benoit Assou-Ekotto, and Nicolas N'Koulou will be difficult to score against in the coming weeks in Brazil.
PREDICTIONS:
Brazil: Defeats Mexico, Croatia, Cameroon (9 Points) ***
Croatia: Defeats Cameroon, Draws Mexico, Loses to Brazil (4 Points) ***
Mexico: Draws Cameroon, Croatia, Loses to Brazil (2 Points)
Cameroon: Draws Mexico, Loses to Croatia, Brazil (1 Point)
GROUP B: SPAIN, NETHERLANDS, CHILE, AUSTRALIA
Even trying to be as open-minded as possible, it's hard not to look at this group and not see a two-way fight for second place. Spain looks a clear number one, while Australia should probably be begging for mercy. Honestly, what is there to say about Spain that hasn't already been said? They are powerhouses, good everywhere, starting from the goalkeeper position where they have Iker Casillas, the captain who has 154 national team caps. Gerard Pique and Sergio Ramos lead the defense, Xavi and Andres Iniesta are leaders of the midfield, and Diego Costa is striker. Everywhere in between is just more talent. They will be difficult for anyone to beat.
The Netherlands are back from a runner-up finish at the 2010 World Cup, and despite that performance, should have difficulties advancing from the group stages. Robin van Persie is one of the top strikers in the world, and Arjen Robben is (in my opinion) the best right winger in the world. The supporting cast involves Rafael van der Vaart and Wesley Sneijder. These guys are capable of giving anyone a run for their money.
However, I'm giving Chile a slight edge over the Netherlands. This isn't necessarily because their team is better, but because they are used to the environment and are in the home continent of the World Cup. In a European World Cup, the Netherlands would be my #2. Regardless, Chile is a very well rounded team led by a star in Arturo Vidal, who mans the midfield for Juventus as well as being the star of the Chilean team. Claudio Bravo is a strong goalkeeper who plays a big part in their success. Alexis Sanchez gives them an added quick striker who is experienced in international play as well as big games due to his time at FC Barcelona.
Australia has a chance of advancing, but only if a lot of things go right. Tim Cahill is a solid striker who is good with his head, but he is one of the few bright spots on a team who will struggle.
PREDICTIONS:
Spain: Defeats Netherlands, Chile, Australia (9 Points) ***
Chile: Defeats Australia, Draws Netherlands, Loses to Spain (4 Points) (Leads on goal difference) ***
Netherlands: Defeats Australia, Draws Chile, Loses to Spain (4 Points)
Australia: Loses to Spain, Netherlands, Chile (0 Points)
GROUP C: COLOMBIA, GREECE, JAPAN, IVORY COAST
Say hello to group C, the most open ended group in this year's World Cup. I am not joking when I say this is anyone's group. All the teams have their strengths. Colombia has one of the world's best players in AS Monaco's Radamel Falcao. However, he is injured and won't be playing in the World Cup, severely damaging Colombia's chances. Luckily, Jackson Martinez of FC Porto is a strong replacement. On the wings Colombia is strong with Juan Cuadrado and up and coming youngster James Rodriguez. At age 38, defender Mario Yepes is one of the oldest players at the World Cup and will hope to lead his team to the group stages. They still have a good chance.
Greece is an interesting team. They are extremely well rounded, but they really don't have a star. They are led by Giorgos Karagounis of Fulham in the midfield, and have two solid strikers in Giorgos Samaras and Dimitris Salpingidis. Their defense is relatively solid as well, and have many good players including the excellently named Sokratis Papastathopoulos. Who knows what will become of them this World Cup.
Japan has a special place with me after I picking them out of a hat in a World Cup pool this year. While I won't give up hope, it doesn't exactly look great for the Japanese. They do have a solid midfield led by Keisuke Honda and Shinji Kagawa, and a decent defense led by the quick fullbacks Yuto Nagatomo and Atsuto Uchida. For my sake, I hope they advance. It was just 12 years ago where they reached the semis.
Ivory Coast will be a test in seeing if a whole bunch of strikers can succeed in a World Cup. The best of the bunch is Didier Drogba, but don't forget about the rest: Wilfried Bony, Seydou Doumbia, Gervinho, and Solomon Kalou to name a few. The rest of their team is made up of the Toure brothers and not much else. Still, they are many's favorites to take the group.
PREDICTIONS:
Ivory Coast: Defeats Greece, Japan, Draws Colombia (7 Points) ***
Colombia: Defeats Japan, Draws Ivory Coast, Greece (5 Points) ***
Japan: Defeats Greece, Loses to Ivory Coast, Colombia (3 Points)
Greece: Draws Colombia, Loses to Ivory Coast, Japan (1 Point)
GROUP D: ENGLAND, ITALY, URUGUAY, COSTA RICA
The pressure is on in this group. Three teams have huge expectations involving aspirations of advancing to the knockout stage and even as far as the semifinals. England, Italy, and Uruguay have all won World Cups in the past, while Costa Rica is in a similar situation to Australia (sorry guys, it's just not your year). So let's just come out and say it: Costa Rica is losing, sorry, not much to say about them. Maybe in four years guys.
England. England. England. Perhaps the most crazy football fans in the World, they expect nothing less than success. It will be a challenge in Brazil for them. This team is very good, but they received a less than desirable draw. Wayne Rooney is the star and is joined by fellow Manchester United star Danny Welbeck and Daniel Sturridge as strikers. Aging legends in the midfield Steven Gerrard and Frank Lampard are the captains of this squad. They have a younger defense which is highlighted by the absence of Ashley Cole at left back in favor of the 18 year old Luke Shaw. Joe Hart is in goal for a team that could easily advance or finish third in the group.
Italy is looking for redemption after failing to make advance past the group stage in South Africa in 2010. 36 year old Gianluigi Buffon, one of the greatest goalies ever is back for a last-ditch attempt for a second World Cup title. With him is a strong but old squad that might not have the energy to finish off games in the second half. Players like Giorgio Chiellini, Daniele de Rossi, and Andrea Pirlo are all past their primes, but will provide good experience and leadership that a team with big hopes needs to be successful. And don't forget the hot shot Mario Balotelli ready to poach some goals.
Uruguay is another team with the South American advantage. When you look at them, the first thing anyone notices is the insane 1-2 punch of Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani at striker. Suarez had a controversial handball in 2010 against Ghana and is looking for a positive memory to come out of the 2014 campaign. Also back from 2010 is that Cup's top scorer - Diego Forlan. Diego Godin and Martin Caceres are solid in defense and Fernando Muslera has been a top notch keeper for Galatasaray who should definitely help in this World Cup. However, they do have a weak defense which may put pressure on the defense and limit the strikers' chances. It will be hard to best 2010's 4th place finish, but they should be able to pass the groups.
PREDICTIONS:
Uruguay: Defeats Costa Rica, Italy, Draws England (7 Points) ***
England: Defeats Costa Rica, Draws Italy, Uruguay (5 Points) ***
Italy: Defeats Costa Rica, Draws England, Loses to Uruguay (4 Points)
Costa Rica: Loses to England, Italy, Uruguay (0 Points)
Part 2 of this post should be out soon and feature groups E-H.
Thanks for reading,
Connor
GROUP A: BRAZIL, MEXICO, CROATIA, CAMEROON
This first group holds the favorite for the World Cup, as well as the host city - Brazil. Captained by PSG's Thiago Silva, this group is full of experience from a back line featuring the aforementioned Silva, Dani Alves, and David Luis. However, the team also features a number of talented, playmaking youngsters making World Cup debuts, such as Neymar, Willian, Bernard, and Hulk. I expect this team to handily take the group, but calling second place is no easy task.
I'll start with Mexico, a defensive minded team thats inability to score goals left them in jeopardy of missing the World Cup altogether. That isn't to say they have a bad set of strikers, however. Javier "Chicharito" Hernandez and Giovani dos Santos are capable of doing the job well, and along with players like Andres Guardado, and Carlos Pena the team has enough pace to keep up with most teams. However, in the end expect Mexico to be playing potentially in three close games.
Most people won't think twice about Croatia making the knockout stages. This is where most people are wrong. Quietly, the Croats have put together a World Cup worthy team that has just as good a chance as Mexico of advancing out of group A. They have a solid defense led by captain Darijo Srna, and one of the best midfielders in the world in Real Madrid's Luka Modric. Leading them at striker is Bayern Munich's Mario Mandzukic, who has a golden head capable of knocking in crosses almost at will. They have enough to challenge.
Cameroon is definitely the outsider in this group, but they aren't to be underestimated either. They have an aging star in Samuel Eto'o who despite his age can still score as he has shown at the club level. In addition, let me make this simple: they have a good defense. Aurelien Chedjou, Henri Bedimo, Benoit Assou-Ekotto, and Nicolas N'Koulou will be difficult to score against in the coming weeks in Brazil.
PREDICTIONS:
Brazil: Defeats Mexico, Croatia, Cameroon (9 Points) ***
Croatia: Defeats Cameroon, Draws Mexico, Loses to Brazil (4 Points) ***
Mexico: Draws Cameroon, Croatia, Loses to Brazil (2 Points)
Cameroon: Draws Mexico, Loses to Croatia, Brazil (1 Point)
GROUP B: SPAIN, NETHERLANDS, CHILE, AUSTRALIA
Even trying to be as open-minded as possible, it's hard not to look at this group and not see a two-way fight for second place. Spain looks a clear number one, while Australia should probably be begging for mercy. Honestly, what is there to say about Spain that hasn't already been said? They are powerhouses, good everywhere, starting from the goalkeeper position where they have Iker Casillas, the captain who has 154 national team caps. Gerard Pique and Sergio Ramos lead the defense, Xavi and Andres Iniesta are leaders of the midfield, and Diego Costa is striker. Everywhere in between is just more talent. They will be difficult for anyone to beat.
The Netherlands are back from a runner-up finish at the 2010 World Cup, and despite that performance, should have difficulties advancing from the group stages. Robin van Persie is one of the top strikers in the world, and Arjen Robben is (in my opinion) the best right winger in the world. The supporting cast involves Rafael van der Vaart and Wesley Sneijder. These guys are capable of giving anyone a run for their money.
However, I'm giving Chile a slight edge over the Netherlands. This isn't necessarily because their team is better, but because they are used to the environment and are in the home continent of the World Cup. In a European World Cup, the Netherlands would be my #2. Regardless, Chile is a very well rounded team led by a star in Arturo Vidal, who mans the midfield for Juventus as well as being the star of the Chilean team. Claudio Bravo is a strong goalkeeper who plays a big part in their success. Alexis Sanchez gives them an added quick striker who is experienced in international play as well as big games due to his time at FC Barcelona.
Australia has a chance of advancing, but only if a lot of things go right. Tim Cahill is a solid striker who is good with his head, but he is one of the few bright spots on a team who will struggle.
PREDICTIONS:
Spain: Defeats Netherlands, Chile, Australia (9 Points) ***
Chile: Defeats Australia, Draws Netherlands, Loses to Spain (4 Points) (Leads on goal difference) ***
Netherlands: Defeats Australia, Draws Chile, Loses to Spain (4 Points)
Australia: Loses to Spain, Netherlands, Chile (0 Points)
GROUP C: COLOMBIA, GREECE, JAPAN, IVORY COAST
Say hello to group C, the most open ended group in this year's World Cup. I am not joking when I say this is anyone's group. All the teams have their strengths. Colombia has one of the world's best players in AS Monaco's Radamel Falcao. However, he is injured and won't be playing in the World Cup, severely damaging Colombia's chances. Luckily, Jackson Martinez of FC Porto is a strong replacement. On the wings Colombia is strong with Juan Cuadrado and up and coming youngster James Rodriguez. At age 38, defender Mario Yepes is one of the oldest players at the World Cup and will hope to lead his team to the group stages. They still have a good chance.
Greece is an interesting team. They are extremely well rounded, but they really don't have a star. They are led by Giorgos Karagounis of Fulham in the midfield, and have two solid strikers in Giorgos Samaras and Dimitris Salpingidis. Their defense is relatively solid as well, and have many good players including the excellently named Sokratis Papastathopoulos. Who knows what will become of them this World Cup.
Japan has a special place with me after I picking them out of a hat in a World Cup pool this year. While I won't give up hope, it doesn't exactly look great for the Japanese. They do have a solid midfield led by Keisuke Honda and Shinji Kagawa, and a decent defense led by the quick fullbacks Yuto Nagatomo and Atsuto Uchida. For my sake, I hope they advance. It was just 12 years ago where they reached the semis.
Ivory Coast will be a test in seeing if a whole bunch of strikers can succeed in a World Cup. The best of the bunch is Didier Drogba, but don't forget about the rest: Wilfried Bony, Seydou Doumbia, Gervinho, and Solomon Kalou to name a few. The rest of their team is made up of the Toure brothers and not much else. Still, they are many's favorites to take the group.
PREDICTIONS:
Ivory Coast: Defeats Greece, Japan, Draws Colombia (7 Points) ***
Colombia: Defeats Japan, Draws Ivory Coast, Greece (5 Points) ***
Japan: Defeats Greece, Loses to Ivory Coast, Colombia (3 Points)
Greece: Draws Colombia, Loses to Ivory Coast, Japan (1 Point)
GROUP D: ENGLAND, ITALY, URUGUAY, COSTA RICA
The pressure is on in this group. Three teams have huge expectations involving aspirations of advancing to the knockout stage and even as far as the semifinals. England, Italy, and Uruguay have all won World Cups in the past, while Costa Rica is in a similar situation to Australia (sorry guys, it's just not your year). So let's just come out and say it: Costa Rica is losing, sorry, not much to say about them. Maybe in four years guys.
England. England. England. Perhaps the most crazy football fans in the World, they expect nothing less than success. It will be a challenge in Brazil for them. This team is very good, but they received a less than desirable draw. Wayne Rooney is the star and is joined by fellow Manchester United star Danny Welbeck and Daniel Sturridge as strikers. Aging legends in the midfield Steven Gerrard and Frank Lampard are the captains of this squad. They have a younger defense which is highlighted by the absence of Ashley Cole at left back in favor of the 18 year old Luke Shaw. Joe Hart is in goal for a team that could easily advance or finish third in the group.
Italy is looking for redemption after failing to make advance past the group stage in South Africa in 2010. 36 year old Gianluigi Buffon, one of the greatest goalies ever is back for a last-ditch attempt for a second World Cup title. With him is a strong but old squad that might not have the energy to finish off games in the second half. Players like Giorgio Chiellini, Daniele de Rossi, and Andrea Pirlo are all past their primes, but will provide good experience and leadership that a team with big hopes needs to be successful. And don't forget the hot shot Mario Balotelli ready to poach some goals.
Uruguay is another team with the South American advantage. When you look at them, the first thing anyone notices is the insane 1-2 punch of Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani at striker. Suarez had a controversial handball in 2010 against Ghana and is looking for a positive memory to come out of the 2014 campaign. Also back from 2010 is that Cup's top scorer - Diego Forlan. Diego Godin and Martin Caceres are solid in defense and Fernando Muslera has been a top notch keeper for Galatasaray who should definitely help in this World Cup. However, they do have a weak defense which may put pressure on the defense and limit the strikers' chances. It will be hard to best 2010's 4th place finish, but they should be able to pass the groups.
PREDICTIONS:
Uruguay: Defeats Costa Rica, Italy, Draws England (7 Points) ***
England: Defeats Costa Rica, Draws Italy, Uruguay (5 Points) ***
Italy: Defeats Costa Rica, Draws England, Loses to Uruguay (4 Points)
Costa Rica: Loses to England, Italy, Uruguay (0 Points)
Part 2 of this post should be out soon and feature groups E-H.
Thanks for reading,
Connor
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